As meteorologists predict an exceptionally active hurricane season in 2024, schools must prioritize preparedness to ensure the safety and continuity of education. With forecasts indicating 17-25 total storms, 8-13 hurricanes, and 4-7 major hurricanes, the urgency for robust planning cannot be overstated. Record hot ocean temperatures, attributed to global warming, are expected to increase storm frequency and intensity, posing significant risks to schools and their communities. Here’s what experts are saying and what schools need to do to prepare.
Predictions for the 2024 Hurricane Season:
- Increased Storm Activity: Meteorologists forecast an extremely active hurricane season with 17-25 total storms, 8-13 hurricanes, and 4-7 major hurricanes.
- Impact of Ocean Temperatures: Record hot ocean temperatures contribute to the formation and intensity of storms, increasing the risk of significant damage.
- Global Warming Effects: A hotter regular ocean temperature, driven by global warming, is a critical factor in the heightened storm activity.
- El Niño to La Niña Transition: The shift from El Niño (cold front) to La Niña (warm front) during the hurricane season is expected to intensify storms.
- Extended Season: Storms may start earlier and last longer into the season, with prime storm conditions anticipated by August, leading to a highly active fall hurricane season.
What This Means for Schools
Given the severe predictions, schools must act now to prepare for the upcoming hurricane season. Here are essential steps to ensure readiness:
- Proactive Summer Preparations
- Facility Inspections: During the back-to-school preparation season, go beyond painting and supply restocking. Inspect windows, foundations, and storm doors, and source necessary supplies.
- Emergency Supplies: Avoid last-minute purchases. Secure generators, water pumps, and other emergency supplies well in advance.
- Emergency Communication Scripts: create a database of communication scripts covering different types of emergencies to ensure timely updates and information distribution.
- Understanding Risks: Understanding weather risks for your campus is part of the first steps in preparing your school to respond effectively.
- Develop and Review Emergency Plans
- Comprehensive Emergency Plan: Create a detailed emergency plan, including evacuation routes, shelter locations, and emergency supply inventories.
- Continuity of Operations Plan: Review and update your continuity of operations plan to ensure it’s ready for activation if needed.
- Documentation: Include roles and responsibilities for accounting for staff, students, and infrastructure during storm preparation, impact, and clean-up.
- Establish Partnerships
- Local Collaboration: Form partnerships with local entities such as bus companies, food pantries, and the Red Cross to ensure resources are available for your school community in case of significant disruption.
- Initiate a Knowledge Campaign
- Early Communication: Inform your school community about the expected hurricane season and your plans to handle it.
- Frequent Updates: Keep families informed about preparations, potential changes in the academic day, and school activities.
- Resource Sharing: Provide families with information on building emergency kits, sourcing emergency supplies early, and following emergency services and weather expert instructions.
- Learn from the Past
- Debrief and Adjust: If your community has previously experienced hurricanes or tropical storms, review past events and responses to improve your current plans through a debrief with your staff.
- Research and Educate: If hurricanes and tropical storms are new to your area, gather information and resources to enhance your preparedness.
While we cannot control the weather, we can control our preparedness and mitigation efforts. With experts predicting a highly active hurricane season, schools must start early and take these preparations seriously. By implementing proactive measures, schools can safeguard their communities and ensure the continuity of education during these challenging times.